Kalshi Bitcoin 15m Lab

Settlement source CF Benchmarks BRTI Kalshi averages the final 60 seconds before close.

Chart feed Loading Checking key status

Current event KXBTC15M Waiting for market

Open Kalshi

Kalshi 15m clock --:-- Waiting for active market

Open -- Final average -- Close --

Expiry odds use the live seconds-to-close horizon for this exact market.

Execution Plan

Entry and exit limits are execution rules; the odds shown are for holding the contract to settlement.

Waiting

Bankroll Risk / trade % Kelly % Holding side Avg entry Take profit Stop loss Exit buffer

Paper Limit Trader

Simulated contracts use the same 1.00 payout structure, local quotes, limit fills, and your signed-in SIM wallet when available.

Paper ready

Paper desks

Active desk

Completion bot Buys exactly 10 contracts on each green model entry, with no fixed holding cap beyond paper cash, then holds to settlement. Scalp bot Buys exactly 10 contracts on each green model entry, then refreshes one grouped sell limit at average paid +10c. Research fade bot Waits for a stretched BTC move, buys the cheaper mean-reversion side only when edge, spread, and time filters pass, then targets average paid +6c.

Server paper bot Runs on the backend with its own separate paper bankroll, so it can keep working even when this browser is closed.

Bot bankroll Contracts Min edge % Max ask c Max spread % Max fills Cooldown sec Max exposure Exit Target c

Paper bots are off.

Currency Starting grant

Contracts Limit price

Market	Side	Contracts	Entry	Mark	P/L	Action

BTC Path vs Kalshi Target

Live proxy chart unless a licensed CF Benchmarks feed is configured on the backend.

Expiry Odds Vs Price

Probability that the contract resolves in the money if held to settlement. Edge is expiry odds minus fee-adjusted break-even.

Waiting

Side	Ask / Bid	Expiry odds	You pay	Edge	EV	Size	Call	Ticket

Confirm-Only Trade Ticket

The server re-checks the live Kalshi quote before the final click can send a fill-or-kill order.

No ticket prepared

Prepare a ticket from the current best row or from a side button in the table.

No order has been sent.

Auto Pilot Watcher

One-contract scanner for each fresh 15-minute market; final order still needs your click.

Watch

Mode Min edge First minutes Max cost

Watcher is off.